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#9281 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:48 PM 19.Sep.2004) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM JEANNE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112004 2100Z SUN SEP 19 2004 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 72.3W AT 19/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..125NE 300SE 125SW 125NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 72.3W AT 19/2100Z AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 72.3W FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 25.5N 72.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 26.7N 71.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 27.3N 70.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 100NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 27.2N 69.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 100NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 26.5N 68.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 40SW 100NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 75SW 200NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 26.5N 68.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 27.0N 67.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.5N 72.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE |