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| #9343 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:35 PM 20.Sep.2004) TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM AST MON SEP 20 2004 ...KARL MAKES THE EXPECTED TURN TO THE NORTHWEST... AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.1 WEST OR ABOUT 965 MILES...1550 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. KARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH A TURN TO THE NORTH TOMORROW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND KARL COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...18.6 N... 47.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 955 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST. FORECASTER BLAKE/LAWRENCE |
