Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


The Atlantic is quiet
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 45 (Milton) , Major: 45 (Milton) Florida - Any: 45 (Milton) Major: 45 (Milton)
None
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
 
Show Selection:
Show plain - Location:
#9349 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:36 PM 20.Sep.2004)
TCMAT2
HURRICANE KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122004
0300Z TUE SEP 21 2004

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 47.4W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 938 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 75SE 75SW 90NW.
34 KT.......175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..275NE 275SE 275SW 275NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 47.4W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 47.1W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.1N 48.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
50 KT... 90NE 75SE 75SW 90NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 150SW 175NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.3N 49.8W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
50 KT... 90NE 75SE 75SW 90NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 150SW 175NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 25.4N 50.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 45NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 28.5N 49.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 36.0N 45.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 150SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 44.0N 44.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 49.0N 47.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 47.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

FORECASTER BERG/JARVINEN