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| #9378 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:32 AM 21.Sep.2004) TCMAT2 HURRICANE KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122004 0900Z TUE SEP 21 2004 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 47.5W AT 21/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 940 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 75SW 90NW. 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW. 12 FT SEAS..350NE 275SE 275SW 350NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 47.5W AT 21/0900Z AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 47.3W FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 21.7N 48.4W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 90NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 150SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 23.9N 49.5W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 90NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 150SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 26.5N 49.5W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 45NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 29.2N 47.8W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 36.0N 43.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 150SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 44.0N 43.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 48.0N 44.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 47.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z FORECASTER PASCH |
