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#939033 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:47 AM 08.Sep.2018) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Florence Advisory Number 36 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062018 500 AM AST Sat Sep 08 2018 ...FLORENCE FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY SUNDAY... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE AGAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.5N 54.2W ABOUT 840 MI...1350 KM SE OF BERMUDA ABOUT 720 MI...1155 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Florence was located near latitude 24.5 North, longitude 54.2 West. Florence is moving toward the west near 9 mph (14 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next couple days. A west- northwestward motion with an increase in forward speed is expected by early next week and continue into middle part of next week. On the forecast track, the center of Florence will move over the warm waters of the southwestern Atlantic Ocean through Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual restrengthening is forecast over the weekend, and Florence is expected to become a hurricane again by Sunday and a major hurricane early next week. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Florence are affecting Bermuda and will reach portions of the U.S. East Coast over the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Stewart |