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| #940743 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:59 AM 17.Sep.2018) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Florence Advisory Number 73 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL062018 1100 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018 ...FLORENCE CONTINUES TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN OVER PARTS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION. FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES OVER THE CAROLINAS AND MAY DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF THE DELMARVA INTO PENNSYLVANIA TODAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...38.5N 82.9W ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM W OF CHARLOTTESVILLE VIRGINIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Flash flood warnings are currently in effect across parts of central North Carolina into far southern Virginia. Flash flood watches are in effect across much of North Carolina, northern South Carolina, portions of Western Virginia, southern and eastern West Virginia, central and western Maryland, central and western Pennsylvania, southern New York and southern New England. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Florence was located near latitude 38.5 North, longitude 82.9 West. The depression is moving toward the northeast near 15 mph (24 km/h) and is forecast to become extratropical late today while accelerating to the east-northeast. Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph (35 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast until the low moves into the western Atlantic by early Wednesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Florence is expected to produce heavy to excessive rainfall over the next couple of days. Portions of the Mid Atlantic states west of Interstate 95 into southern New York and southern New England are expected to receive an additional 2 to 4 inches of rain...with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible. TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes remain possible from northeast South Carolina and eastern/central North Carolina into parts of Virginia, western Maryland, and southern Pennsylvania through today. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Carbin/Blake |
