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| #943980 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:54 PM 10.Oct.2018) TCMAT4 HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018 2100 UTC WED OCT 10 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE HURRICANE WARNING WEST OF THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF THE SUWANEE RIVER. THE STORM SURGE WATCH SOUTH OF ANCLOTE RIVER HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO ANCLOTE RIVER FLORIDA A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * OCRACOKE INLET NORTH CAROLINA TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE TO SUWANNEE RIVER FLORIDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH FLORIDA TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA * PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MICHAEL. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 85.1W AT 10/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 932 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 80SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 140SE 100SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 210SE 240SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 85.1W AT 10/2100Z AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 85.5W FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 32.6N 83.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 130SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 35.1N 79.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 160SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 37.6N 74.4W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 90SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 210SE 120SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 40.7N 66.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 140SE 120SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 300SE 210SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 46.7N 43.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 200SE 180SW 0NW. 34 KT...160NE 420SE 360SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 49.2N 19.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.9N 85.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
