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| #944329 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:56 AM 12.Oct.2018) TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 64 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018 500 AM AST Fri Oct 12 2018 ...LESLIE MOVING QUICKLY TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.9N 31.0W ABOUT 480 MI...770 KM SSW OF THE AZORES ABOUT 480 MI...770 KM SSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...44 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Madeira Island A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located near latitude 31.9 North, longitude 31.0 West. Leslie is moving toward the east-northeast near 28 mph (44 km/h). A continued east-northeast motion with an increase in forward speed is expected through Friday. Leslie is forecast to slow down and turn toward the east or east-southeast by Saturday. On the forecast track, Leslie will pass near Madeira Island by late Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next 72 hours, and Leslie could transition into a post-tropical low by Sunday or Sunday night. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 75 miles (120 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 969 mb (28.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island beginning early Saturday. RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 4 inches across Madeira Island through Sunday. This could lead to flash flooding and mudslides in mountainous terrain. SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will likely affect portions of the Azores, Madeira Island and the Canary Islands through Saturday and could reach the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and Morocco over the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven |
