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| #944538 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:39 PM 13.Oct.2018) TCPAT3 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Leslie Advisory Number 70 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018 500 PM AST Sat Oct 13 2018 ...LONG-LIVED LESLIE PREPARING TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE WEST COAST OF PORTUGAL AS A POWERFUL POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE... ...DANGEROUS WINDS, SURF, AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...40.5N 9.5W ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM SSW OF PORTO PORTUGAL ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM N OF LISBON PORTUGAL MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 35 MPH...56 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Leslie was located near latitude 40.5 North, longitude 9.5 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 35 mph (56 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue during the next 24 hours with a decrease in forward speed. On this track, the center of Leslie will be near the west-central coast of Portugal in a few hours, and move inland over portions of central and northern Portugal tonight, and across northwestern and northern Spain Sunday morning. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast after Leslie moves inland over the Iberian peninsula, and the cyclone is forecast to dissipate by Sunday afternoon or evening. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) from the center. Lisbon, Portugal recently reported a wind gust to 40 mph (65 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 984 mb (29.06 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force to portions of Portugal tonight, and gale-force winds to portions of western amd northern Spain later tonight through early Sunday. Please see products from your local meteorological service for more information on this hazard. RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts up to 5 inches (125 mm) across portions of Portugal and Spain this weekend. This rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding. SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect the Azores, Madeira Island, and the Canary Islands through the weekend, and will begin to affect the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and Morocco today and continuing into Sunday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Leslie. $$ Forecaster Stewart |
