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#9452 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 PM 21.Sep.2004) TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM AST TUE SEP 21 2004 ...KARL NO THREAT TO LAND... AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.6 WEST OR ABOUT 990 MILES...1595 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. KARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH ...26 KM/HR...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...465 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...22.9 N... 48.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 948 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST. FORECASTER LAWRENCE |