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| #9477 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 PM 21.Sep.2004) TCMAT1 HURRICANE JEANNE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112004 0300Z WED SEP 22 2004 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 68.7W AT 22/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 175 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 250SE 200SW 250NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 68.7W AT 22/0300Z AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 68.8W FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 26.8N 68.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 26.5N 69.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 26.5N 69.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 26.6N 70.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 27.5N 73.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 29.5N 75.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 32.1N 76.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N 68.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z FORECASTER AVILA |
