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#9555 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:32 AM 22.Sep.2004)
TCMAT2
HURRICANE KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122004
1500Z WED SEP 22 2004

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 49.0W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 75NE 75SE 45SW 60NW.
50 KT.......125NE 125SE 75SW 100NW.
34 KT.......250NE 250SE 150SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..660NE 500SE 320SW 450NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 49.0W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 49.3W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 28.9N 48.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 60NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 75SW 100NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 150SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 32.0N 46.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 60NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 150SW 175NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 36.5N 43.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 45NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 42.0N 42.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 52.0N 40.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 200SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 59.0N 31.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 65.0N 18.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N 49.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN