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| #9597 (Received by flhurricane at: 6:51 PM 22.Sep.2004) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 67 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 6 PM CDT WED SEP 22 2004 ...IVAN REGENERATES IN THE GULF OF MEXICO... AT 6 PM CDT...2300Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE GULF OF MEXICO COAST FROM THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER LOUISIANA WESTWARD TO SARGENT TEXAS. AT 6 PM CDT...2300Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.3 WEST OR ABOUT 155 MILES SOUTH OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND IVAN WILL LIKELY REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH BEFORE LANDFALL. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE WAS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. WATER LEVELS HAVE BEEN RUNNING .5 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO. IVAN WILL GENERATE AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE THESE EXISTING WATER LEVELS. THEREFORE... WATER ELEVATIONS OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTHEAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF IVAN. REPEATING THE 6 PM CDT POSITION...26.9 N... 89.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 PM CDT. FORECASTER AVILA |
