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| #9770 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:58 PM 23.Sep.2004) TCMAT2 HURRICANE KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122004 2100Z THU SEP 23 2004 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.7N 43.3W AT 23/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 26 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW. 50 KT.......125NE 150SE 75SW 75NW. 34 KT.......300NE 375SE 200SW 200NW. 12 FT SEAS..700NE 500SE 300SW 350NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.7N 43.3W AT 23/2100Z AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 43.5W FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 39.7N 42.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW. 50 KT...125NE 150SE 75SW 75NW. 34 KT...300NE 375SE 200SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 44.7N 42.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT...120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 120NW. 34 KT...300NE 350SE 180SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 49.2N 40.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 120NW. 34 KT...300NE 350SE 180SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 54.0N 34.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...120NE 180SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...360NE 360SE 180SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 62.0N 9.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 150SE 150SW 0NW. 34 KT...180NE 300SE 300SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.7N 43.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE |
