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| #9809 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:52 PM 23.Sep.2004) TCMAT1 HURRICANE JEANNE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112004 0300Z FRI SEP 24 2004 A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS... INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. A HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA EAST COAST ON FRIDAY MORNING. INTERESTS ON THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JEANNE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 70.8W AT 24/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 966 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..540NE 400SE 400SW 600NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 70.8W AT 24/0300Z AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 70.4W FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 26.1N 72.2W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 26.1N 74.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 26.2N 77.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 100SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 26.5N 79.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 110SE 100SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 29.0N 81.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 33.0N 80.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 38.0N 73.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.1N 70.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z FORECASTER AVILA |
