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| #980944 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:39 PM 04.Sep.2019) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Fernand Intermediate Advisory Number 6A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072019 100 PM CDT Wed Sep 04 2019 ...FERNAND MOVING INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO... ...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.3N 97.9W ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM N OF LA PESCA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Puerto Altamira to the Mouth of the Rio Grande River Interests along the lower Texas coast should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fernand was located near latitude 24.3 North, longitude 97.9 West. Fernand is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A motion toward the west or west-northwest is expected today, and the center of Fernand will move farther inland over northeastern Mexico through tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is expected as Fernand move farther inland, and the system is forecast to dissipate over northeastern Mexico tonight or Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Fernand is expected to produce the following rainfall totals through Friday: Northeast Mexico: Tamaulipas and Central/Southern Nuevo Leon: 6 to 12 inches with isolated 18 inches, highest along the immediate Gulf Coast and in the Sierra Madre Oriental. This rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. Northern Nuevo Leon and Southern Coahuila: 3 to 6 inches. South Texas and the Lower Texas Coast: 2 to 4 inches, isolated 6 inches. WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue within portions of the warning area through this afternoon. Squalls with gusts to tropical storm force are likely north of the warning area along portions of the lower Texas coast. TORNADOES: A tornado or two are possible across far South Texas through this evening. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Brown |
