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| #982276 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:39 PM 14.Sep.2019) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092019 2100 UTC SAT SEP 14 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. WATCHES AND WARNINGS THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 77.3W AT 14/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 150SE 0SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 77.3W AT 14/2100Z AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 77.1W FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 28.2N 77.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 29.3N 78.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 80SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 29.9N 77.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 30.5N 76.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 120SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 31.2N 73.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 110SE 80SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 32.5N 67.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 36.0N 61.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.4N 77.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
