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| #982301 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:35 PM 14.Sep.2019) TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Humberto Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092019 1100 PM EDT Sat Sep 14 2019 ...HUMBERTO SLOWLY STRENGTHENING TO THE NORTH OF THE BAHAMAS... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON SUNDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.6N 77.3W ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM N OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM NE OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches and warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Humberto was located near latitude 27.6 North, longitude 77.3 West. Humberto is moving toward the north-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h) and this motion with a gradual turn to the north is expected for the next day or so. A sharp turn to the northeast is expected on Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Humberto should continue to move well offshore of the east coast of Florida during the next day or so and then move away from the U.S. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected during the next few days, and Humberto is forecast to become a hurricane on Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) from the center. The minimum central pressure of 1000 mb (29.53 inches) is based on data from the NOAA and Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Gusty winds in squalls are still affecting portions of the northwestern Bahamas. These winds should subside on Sunday morning. RAINFALL: Humberto is expected to produce the following total rainfall accumulations through Monday: The Bahamas...Additional 1 to 3 inches, isolated storm totals of 6 inches. SURF: Swells generated by Humberto are expected to affect the northwestern Bahamas, and the coast of the U.S. from from east-central Florida to North Carolina during the next few days. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi |
