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| #982398 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:50 PM 15.Sep.2019) TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Humberto Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092019 500 PM EDT Sun Sep 15 2019 ...HUMBERTO CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... ...RIP CURRENT THREAT WILL INCREASE ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST THROUGH TUESDAY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.3N 78.0W ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM NNW OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND ABOUT 170 MI...270 KM ENE OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in and around Bermuda should monitor the progress of Humberto. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Humberto was located by reconnaissance aircraft and NOAA Doppler radars near latitude 29.3 North, longitude 78.0 West. Humberto is moving toward the north near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through tonight. A sharp turn to the northeast is forecast to occur Monday morning or afternoon, followed by a motion toward the northeast and east-northeast on Tuesday and Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Humberto will continue to move away from the Bahamas and remain well offshore of the southeastern coast of the United States through Wednesday. Data from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Further strengthening is expected during the next few days, and Humberto is expected to become a hurricane later tonight. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km) from the center. The minimum central pressure based on aircraft data is estimated to be 989 mb (29.21 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Outer rain bands associated with Humberto are expected to produce additional rainfall of 1 to 2 inches in the central and northern Bahamas, with isolated storm total amounts of 6 inches. Humberto may bring periods of heavy rain to Bermuda beginning late Wednesday. SURF: Swells generated by Humberto will affect the northwestern Bahamas, and the southeastern coast of the United States from east-central Florida to North Carolina during the next few days. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart |
