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#982434 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:39 PM 15.Sep.2019)
TCMAT4

HURRICANE HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092019
0300 UTC MON SEP 16 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN AND AROUND BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
HUMBERTO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 77.6W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 130SE 40SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 77.6W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 77.8W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 29.8N 77.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 30.1N 76.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 30.5N 74.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 30.8N 73.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 80SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 31.8N 68.3W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 35.0N 63.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 39.0N 60.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.4N 77.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH