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#982456 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:47 AM 16.Sep.2019) TCPAT4 BULLETIN Hurricane Humberto Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092019 500 AM EDT Mon Sep 16 2019 ...HUMBERTO CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... ...LARGE SWELLS AFFECTING MUCH OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COASTLINE... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.7N 77.3W ABOUT 760 MI...1225 KM W OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in and around Bermuda should monitor the progress of Humberto. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Humberto was located near latitude 29.7 North, longitude 77.3 West. Humberto is moving toward the northeast near 5 mph (7 km/h). A turn toward the east-northeast is expected later today. An east-northeastward motion with a gradual increase in forward speed is expected tonight through early Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of Humberto is forecast to approach Bermuda late Wednesday or Wednesday night. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Outer rain bands associated with Humberto are expected to produce an additional 1 to 2 inches of rainfall in the northwest Bahamas, with isolated storm total amounts of 6 inches. Humberto may bring periods of heavy rain to Bermuda beginning late Wednesday or Thursday. SURF: Swells generated by Humberto will affect the northwestern Bahamas and the southeastern coast of the United States from east-central Florida to North Carolina during the next few days. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Brown |