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#982594 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:47 AM 17.Sep.2019) TCPAT4 BULLETIN Hurricane Humberto Advisory Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092019 500 AM EDT Tue Sep 17 2019 ...LARGE HUMBERTO FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN LATER TODAY... ...ANOTHER AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE SCHEDULED TO REACH THE HURRICANE IN A FEW HOURS... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.6N 74.3W ABOUT 570 MI...920 KM W OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the large and ragged eye of Hurricane Humberto was located near latitude 30.6 North, longitude 74.3 West. Humberto is moving toward the east-northeast near 8 mph (13 km/h). This general motion with a gradual increase in forward speed is expected through early Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of Humberto is expected to approach Bermuda Wednesday night. Maximum sustained winds remain near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 36 hours and Humberto is expected to become a major hurricane by Tuesday night or Wednesday morning. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 966 mb (28.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical Storm conditions are possible over Bermuda by late Wednesday. RAINFALL: Humberto may bring periods of heavy rain to Bermuda beginning Tuesday, with rainfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches expected. SURF: Large swells generated by Humberto will increase along the coast of Bermuda by Wednesday. Swells will affect the northwestern Bahamas and the southeastern coast of the United States from east-central Florida to North Carolina during the next couple of days. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office and the Bermuda Weather Service. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM EDT. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Avila |