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| #982629 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:57 AM 17.Sep.2019) TCMAT4 HURRICANE HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092019 1500 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR BERMUDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.7N 73.5W AT 17/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 961 MB EYE DIAMETER 35 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 50SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT.......130NE 150SE 80SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 180SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.7N 73.5W AT 17/1500Z AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 73.9W FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 31.1N 72.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...130NE 150SE 120SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 31.8N 69.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...130NE 150SE 120SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 33.1N 66.1W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 80SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 160SE 120SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 35.3N 62.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 80SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 39.6N 58.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...160NE 170SE 130SW 210NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 43.0N 52.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 44.5N 40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.7N 73.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 17/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
