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#982681 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:45 PM 17.Sep.2019) TCMAT4 HURRICANE HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092019 2100 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING WITH A HURRICANE WARNING FOR BERMUDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 72.3W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT.......130NE 150SE 120SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 210SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 72.3W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 72.9W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 31.5N 70.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...130NE 160SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 32.6N 67.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...130NE 160SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 34.6N 63.9W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 80SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 160SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 37.4N 61.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 80SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 170SE 120SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 41.5N 57.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...160NE 170SE 130SW 210NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 43.5N 48.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 46.0N 34.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.0N 72.3W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 18/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |