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| #982913 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:56 PM 18.Sep.2019) TCPAT4 BULLETIN Hurricane Humberto Advisory Number 26 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092019 1100 PM AST Wed Sep 18 2019 ...CENTER OF HUMBERTO MOVING AWAY FROM BERMUDA... ...TROPICAL-STORM-CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS BERMUDA INTO THURSDAY MORNING... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.0N 63.9W ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM NNE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.12 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Bermuda Weather Service has changed the Hurricane Warning to a Tropical Storm Warning for Bermuda. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area, in this case during the next several hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Humberto was located near latitude 34.0 North, longitude 63.9 West. Humberto is moving toward the northeast near 23 mph (37 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue through Thursday, followed by a north-northeastward motion at a slower forward speed Thursday night and Friday. A turn toward the east-northeast is expected Friday night and Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of Humberto will continue to move away from Bermuda tonight. Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds remain near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher gusts. Humberto is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. The hurricane should start to weaken later tonight, and it is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone by Friday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 220 miles (350 km). Several stations on Bermuda are reporting sustained winds of 40-50 mph (65-80 km/h) with higher gusts. The minimum central pressure reported by the Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 952 mb (28.12 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Humberto can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT4.shtml. WIND: Tropical-storm-force winds will persist on Bermuda into late Thursday morning. RAINFALL: Humberto may bring periods of heavy rain to Bermuda through Thursday, with rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches with maximum amounts of 6 inches expected. SURF: Large swells and dangerous surf generated by Humberto will continue along the coast of Bermuda through Thursday, and these could cause coastal flooding. Swells will continue to affect the northwestern Bahamas and the southeastern coast of the United States from east-central Florida to North Carolina during the next couple of days. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office and the Bermuda Weather Service. STORM SURGE: Storm surge along the coast of Bermuda should subside tonight and Thursday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven |
