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#982939 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:51 AM 19.Sep.2019) TCPAT4 BULLETIN Hurricane Humberto Intermediate Advisory Number 26A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092019 200 AM AST Thu Sep 19 2019 ...HUMBERTO A LITTLE STRONGER BUT EXPECTED TO WEAKEN... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING DISCONTINUED FOR BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.7N 63.0W ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM NNE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...200 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.12 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Bermuda Weather Service has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for Bermuda. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches and warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Humberto was located near latitude 34.7 North, longitude 63.0 West. Humberto is moving toward the northeast near 23 mph (37 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue today, followed by a north- northeastward motion at a slower forward speed Thursday night and Friday. A turn toward the east-northeast is expected Friday night and Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of Humberto will continue to move away from Bermuda. Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft exiting Humberto a couple of hours ago indicated that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 125 mph (200 km/h) with higher gusts. Humberto is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. The hurricane should start to weaken today, and it is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone by Friday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 220 miles (350 km). The minimum central pressure reported by the Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 952 mb (28.12 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Large swells and dangerous surf generated by Humberto will continue along the coast of Bermuda through today, and these could continue to cause coastal flooding. Swells will continue to affect the northwestern Bahamas and the southeastern coast of the United States from east-central Florida to North Carolina during the next couple of days. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office and the Bermuda Weather Service. STORM SURGE: Storm surge along the coast of Bermuda should subside today. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Roberts |