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| #984153 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:06 AM 26.Sep.2019) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Karen Advisory Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122019 1100 AM AST Thu Sep 26 2019 ...KAREN SLIGHTLY STRONGER... ...BUT FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN A FEW DAYS... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.6N 63.3W ABOUT 405 MI...650 KM SSE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karen was located near latitude 26.6 North, longitude 63.3 West. Karen is moving toward the north-northeast near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue with a decrease in forward speed through this evening. Karen is then forecast to make a slow clockwise loop, ultimately moving westward by early Sunday. Satellite-derived wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast by the weekend, and Karen is expected to become a remnant low by Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) northwest of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg |
