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| #9936 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:54 PM 24.Sep.2004) TCDAT2 HURRICANE KARL DISCUSSION NUMBER 33 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT FRI SEP 24 2004 THERE ARE JUST SOME VERY SMALL SLIVERS OF DEEP CONVECTION REMAINING NEAR THE CENTER. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE NEAR OR JUST UNDER 65 KT AND THE 18Z WIND SPEED IS SET AT 65 KNOTS. KARL IS NOW OVER WATER LESS THAN 20 DEGREES C AND CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED. KARL IS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 360/26. KARL IS EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHEASTWARD TO EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT THREE DAYS AND MERGE WITH ANOTHER EXTRATROPICAL LOW. THE GLOBAL TRACK MODELS ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT ABOUT THIS. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/2100Z 47.3N 40.4W 65 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 12HR VT 25/0600Z 51.0N 38.4W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 24HR VT 25/1800Z 56.0N 32.2W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 36HR VT 26/0600Z 60.5N 21.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 48HR VT 26/1800Z 64.0N 6.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 27/1800Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER EXTRATROPICAL LOW |
