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| #9971 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 PM 24.Sep.2004) TCMAT1 HURRICANE JEANNE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 46 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112004 0300Z SAT SEP 25 2004 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD TO ST. AUGUSTINE...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS ...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI... ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA IN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS ...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE SUWANEE RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY AROUND THE SOUTHERN END OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST TO THE SUWANEE RIVER...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS NORTH OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 74.9W AT 25/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 964 MB EYE DIAMETER 40 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. 50 KT.......100NE 70SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT.......180NE 120SE 105SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..540NE 400SE 400SW 450NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 74.9W AT 25/0300Z AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 74.3W FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 26.6N 76.8W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. 50 KT...100NE 70SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 105SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 27.2N 79.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. 50 KT...100NE 70SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 110SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 28.0N 81.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. 50 KT...100NE 70SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 110SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 29.5N 81.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 33.5N 80.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 37.5N 75.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 42.5N 66.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.5N 74.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z FORECASTER AVILA |
