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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Milton) , Major: 42 (Milton) Florida - Any: 42 (Milton) Major: 42 (Milton)
 
Show Area Forecast Discussion - Key West, FL (Florida Keys) Selection:
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No data for this date - Showing most recent prior to 11-21-2024
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
1029 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1029 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024

Despite the lack of measurable rainfall seen across the island
chain over the past few hours, it has still been quite an
interesting evening across the Florida Keys forecast area. Just
ahead of a cold front draped across South Florida, a small area of
low pressure developed and has traveled down the southern portion
of the west coast of Florida. This mesolow initially moved into
the outer SE Gulf waters, and has now broadened across the eastern
part of the Keys. While rain has remained limited with this low
and the prefrontal trough, winds have picked up a few knots since
this afternoon and breezy conditions are prevailing in at least
the Lower Keys.

Shallow showers will continue to move across the Florida Keys for
the next few hours, however measurable rainfall will be hard to
come by due to their fast, isolated nature. The front itself will
move across the island chain overnight, and winds will veer to the
northwest to north in its wake. After the frontal boundary`s
passage, dew points will start to gradually decrease as a
modified continental airmass is ushered in by a blast of strong
northerlies. Thanks to the warmer water temperatures, winds aloft
will likely be able to mix down a little easier. Breezy conditions
will likely extend across the remainder of the island chain
through tomorrow morning. Since the front is moving through
overnight, there is a chance that the midnight temperature may
actually be the high for the day tomorrow.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1029 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024

A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for all Florida Keys coastal
waters. A cold front will sweep through the Florida Keys and
surrounding coastal waters overnight. Winds will shift from the
west, becoming northwest to north and freshening in the wake the
cold front passage. Moderate to fresh northwest to northerly
breezes will continue through the remainder of the week, with
considerable diurnal speed variations. High pressure will march
eastward through the Gulf Coast states this weekend resulting in
winds relaxing and veering northeast to east northeasterly.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 1029 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024

A few weak showers may linger near mainly MTH for the next few
hours, with intermittent MVFR CIGS possible. A cold front will
push through overnight, and winds will pick further in its wake.
Gusts will reach near 20 knots, with occasional gusts of 20 to 25
knots. This will cause issues with crosswinds since winds will be
out of the northwest to north.

&&

.CLIMATE...
On this day in 1873, the daily record cold high temperature of 65F
and the daily record low temperature of 54F were both recorded in
Key West. Temperature records date back to 1872.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Key West 73 80 66 76 / 30 10 0 0
Marathon 72 79 63 74 / 30 10 0 0

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory for GMZ031>035-042>044-052>055-072>075.

&&

$$