CLIBRO
REPORTING 31G39MPH...33G40MPH PER CLIHRL...AND 30G40MPH PER CLIMFE.
WITH NO SIGNIFICANT PATTERN CHANGE SINCE YESTERDAY...KBRO VAD WIND
PROFILE INDICATING 40 TO 50KT BETWEEN 1000 AND 4000FT RIGHT NOW...
AND WINDY CONDITIONS THUS FAR TODAY...GENERALLY 20G30KT AT THE
SURFACE PER METARS OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...OPTED TO RAISE
WIND ADVISORY FOR THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE BRO CWFA
THROUGH MID-MORNING TODAY. COMBINE THESE WINDS WITH CURED FUELS...
AND A GREATLY ENHANCED AND DANGEROUS RISK OF WILDFIRES NATURALLY
DEVELOPS...SO A RED FLAG WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE SAME
TIME AND SPACE. COLD FRONT BEGINS TRANSITIONING THROUGH DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS AROUND NOON TODAY...AND COMPLETES ITS JOURNEY AROUND SUNSET...
DECREASING WINDS...DIMINISHING THE RISK OF WILDFIRES...AND CAUSING
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AFTER THE MID-MORNING HOURS. MET
GUIDANCE COOLER THAN MAV GUIDANCE REGARDING LOW/HIGH TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT/TOMORROW...AND GIVEN RECENT GOOD PERFORMANCE OF MET WITH
PAST TWO COLD FRONTS...CHOSE THE MET TEMPERATURES FOR THE MENTIONED
TIME PERIOD. INTERESTING TO NOTE THAT BOTH MET AND MAV INDICATE
SLIGHTLY INCREASING TEMPERATURES TOMORROW...AS OPPOSED TO ISOTHERMAL
OR COOLING CONDITIONS THAT OCCURRED AFTER TWO MOST RECENT FRONTS.
ISOLATED SHOWERS PLAGUE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS SUNDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. BENIGN WEATHER
CONDITIONS EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH MOST OF WEDNESDAY WITH ZONAL
FLOW IN THE MIDDLE LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE PREVAILING. THEN...
ISOLATED SHOWERS RETURN FOR LATE WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS
A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND STALLS ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
REMAINDER OF FORECAST BEYOND WEDNESDAY NIGHT TRANQUIL. LONG RANGE
MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS NEXT SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONT...AFTER TODAYS
...WILL BE LATE ON THE 2ND/EARLY ON THE 3RD OF THE NEW YEAR.
&&

.MARINE...AT 2 AM BUOY 20 REPORTED SOUTH SOUTHEAST WINDS AT 19 KNOTS
WITH GUSTS TO 23 KNOTS AND SEAS AT 7.2 FEET WITH A 7 SECOND PERIOD.
WINDS HAVE INCREASED EARLY THIS MORNING TO NEAR SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA...THEREFORE WILL CONTINUE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES AT THIS
TIME. THE WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO BE STRONG OVER THE LAGUNA
...THEREFORE WILL CONTINUE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON TODAY.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE MARINE AREAS SATURDAY EVENING
SHIFTING THE WINDS FROM THE SOUTH TO THE NORTH.
&&

.AVIATION...MVFR CIGS WITH MODERATE AND GUSTY SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS
WILL BE THE RULE OVER THE REGIONAL AIRPORTS THROUGH THIS MORNING.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THIS AFTERNOON WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE
SOUTHEAST WINDS.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...CURED FUELS AND STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL COMBINE
TO PRODUCE AN ENHANCED AND DANGEROUS RISK OF WILDFIRES FOR THE
EASTERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THROUGH A MAJORITY
OF THIS MORNING. WINDS AND THE RISK OF WILDFIRES WILL DECREASE LATER
THIS MORNING AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. &&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL  83  56  62  49 /  20  40   0   0
BROWNSVILLE          85  58  64  50 /  20  40   0   0
HARLINGEN            85  55  63  48 /  20  40   0   0
MCALLEN              88  56  65  47 /  10  20   0   0
RIO GRANDE CITY      85  55  64  45 /   0   0   0   0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND   81  58  64  51 /  20  50  10  10
&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR TXZ250-251-
     253>257.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR TXZ250-251-
     253>257.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR GMZ130-132-135.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR GMZ150-
     155-170-175.
&&

$$