CWFPHI
KEEPING SOME MENTION OF SHRA SUN INTO SUN NIGHT MOST PLACES, AND
WE NOTE ENOUGH PSBL INSTAB SUN AFTN TO MENTION THUNDER THEN. HEAVY
AT TIMES WILL BE MENTIONED AS A CERTAINTY FROM THE FALL LINE NW
AND AS A PSBLTY ELSEWHERE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.

REGARDING TEMPS, WITH WARM FRONT TRYING TO PUSH N THROUGH FA THIS
EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT PD, THE SECOND PD MINS WILL LOOK A LOT
LIKE THE FIRST PD MAXES, WHICH IS NO REAL CHANGE TO THE PREV FCST
EITHER. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE RISING TEMPS SOME LOCATIONS
OVERNIGHT.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
NO CHANGES TO GREAT BULK OF FORECAST BEYOND SUNDAY NIGHT. PREV LONG 
TERM DISCUSSION...PER HPC, WHICH GENERALLY WENT WITH THE ECMWF AND 
IS SIMILAR TO THE 12Z GFS, A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING AND COULD BE
ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS OR TSTMS. ANOTHER WEAKER COLD FRONT MOVES
WEDNESDAY WITH POSSIBLE SHOWERS. THEN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM
THE NORTHWEST WITH DRY WEATHER THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

AVIATION...
LIGHT RAIN HAS SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING AND HAS BROUGHT 
CIGS DOWN INTO THE IFR OR MVFR RANGE FOR MOST OF OUR TAF SITES. 
VSBYS HAVE BEEN SLOWER TO RESPOND AND ARE STILL VFR AT MOST PLACES. 
PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN SHOULD CONT TKPHICWFPHIHIS MORNING SO CONDS ARE NOT 
EXPECTED TO IMPROVE MUCH IF ANY. HEAVIER RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP 
THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT...SO CIGS AND VSBYS WILL BE DECREASING 
FURTHER LATER TODAY. GUSTY EAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP AS WELL.

MARINE...KPHICWFPHI
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEAST AND AN APPROACHING LOW FROM THE 
SOUTHERN STATES WILL TIGHTEN THE WIND GRADIENT ALONG THE COAST TODAY 
INTO TONIGHT. THE SUSTAINED ONSHORE WINDS WILL BUILD WAVE HEIGHTS UP 
TO 8 TO 10 FT. AS THE LOW MOVES THROUGH THE MID ATLANTIC REGION ON 
SUNDAY THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH AND SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST. SEAS WILL 
BEGIN TO SUBSIDE BUT SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE SCA ON THE OCEAN INTO 
SUNDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE IS FCST TO MOVE ACROSS THE 
FORECAST WATERS ON TUE.

HYDROLOGY...
WILL REFRESH SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT, NOTING PSBLTY OF FLOODING
OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND STREAMS MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO IT. WERE WE
NOT RUNNING VERY DRY OVER THE PAST NINE OR TEN WEEKS, WE LIKELY
WOULD PUT UP A FLOOD WATCH FOR THISKPHICWFPHI EVENT. THE SUBSEQUENT SHIFT
MAY INDEED CONSIDER THIS AGAIN. 

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR ANZ450-451 UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY.
  ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ANZ450-451 FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 5 AM 
     MONDAY.
  ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ANZ452>455 UNTIL 5 AM MONDAY.
  ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ANZ430-431 UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY.
&&