RDUPNSILM. ADDITIONAL VERIFICATION NUMBERS FOR OUR WESTERNMOST
COUNTIES IS STILL BEING SOUGHT AND BOTH WILL BE UPDATED AS NEEDED.
OUR THANKS TO ALL THAT CALLED IN THEIR AMOUNTS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 3 AM SATURDAY...EXPECT SUNDAY TO BE CHILLY AND DRY WITH WEAK
HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL. FAIRLY DYNAMIC CUTOFF LOW ALOFT WILL
WORK ITS WAY INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION MONDAY...BRINGING OUR
NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIP. HAVE UNDERCUT MOS POPS AS THIS SYSTEM IS
RATHER STARVED FOR MOISTURE WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BARELY
EXCEEDING A HALF INCH EVEN IN A MILDER AIRMASS. KEEPING MONDAY POPS
IN THE SOLID CHANCE RANGE FOR NOW. MOISTURE SHOULD BE WELL AND
TRULY CUT OFF BY MON EVENING SO WILL GO DRY MON NIGHT. NON-DIURNAL
TEMP CURVE SUNDAY NIGHT KEEPS US WARM ENOUGH TO AVOID ANY P-TYPE
PROBLEMS...AND MAX TEMP FORECAST FOR MONDAY REFLECTS THE COOLER
GFS MOS GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 3 AM SATURDAY...SLIGHT PATTERN SHIFT ALOFT AS EAST COAST
TROF WILL GIVE WAY TO A MORE ZONAL FLOW BY THE END OF THE WEEK.
EXPECT DRY WX THRU THE PERIOD...BUT TEMPS WILL BE UNSEASONABLY
COOL...PERHAPS 10 DEGREES BELOW CLIMO TUE/WED.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 18Z...DEEP...INTENSE COASTAL LOW PRESSURE IS NOW MORE THAN
THREE HUNDRED MILES EAST OF HATTERAS. ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE HAS SLID
DOWN TO THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. SNOW MELT HAS STARTED AS
TEMPERATURES CREEP INTO THE MID THIRTIES AND SUN PEEKS THROUGH THE
CLOUDS. FLO BROKE OUT EARLY AND WILL BE VFR...LBT/ILM/CRE/MYR START
THE PERIOD MVFR WITH CEILINGS 1500 TO 2500 FEET. STRATOCUMULUS DECK
PROGRESSING ALONG...ALL TAF SITES VFR BY 22Z. WINDS NORTHWEST 8 TO
16 KNOTS...WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
VFR. MONDAY LOOK FOR MVFR TO OCCASIONAL IFR AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH. TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 1030 AM SATURDAY...LOW PULLING AWAY TO THE NORTHEAST HAS
STOPPED ITS DRAMATIC INTENSIFICATION AND ITS FORWARD SPEED SHOULD BE
ACCELERATING AS IT ENCOUNTERS STRONGER AND STRONGER STEERING FLOW
ALOFT. THIS WILL LEAD TO A RAPID ABATING OF WINDS LOCALLY WITH SEAS
FOLLOWING SUIT. SCA HAS ENDED OVER SOUTHERN LEGS. BUOY 41110 DOWN
TO 4.3 FT ALREADY SO SCA MAY BE DROPPED EARLY OVER NORTHERN LEGS.